Survey March the ECB will almost certainly cut interest rates to expand the size of the monthly purc-7470d

Survey: March the ECB will almost certainly cut interest rates to expand the size of the monthly purchase debt rate is 50% U.S. stock market center: exclusive national industry sector stocks, premarket after hours, ETF, real-time quotes warrant remittance network news February 12th – Reuters survey analysts said, the European Central Bank next month to expand the size of the debt purchase plan of 60 billion euros per month the probability is 50%, while the European central bank again lowered the deposit interest rates, it is almost That’s final.. Earlier, the European Central Bank President Delaki (Mario Draghi) has hinted that the financial market turmoil caused inflation and economic growth prospects dim, the central bank may be resorted to more stimulus measures in the meeting in March; since then, the European Central Bank will further easing is expected to rise further. The global stock market crash since the beginning of the year has pushed the German index yield to nearly a year low. However, although the market has expected the European Central Bank will deposit interest rates by 10 basis points to 0.40%, but this week the interviewed analysts also not sure whether the ECB will expand the size of the monthly purchase debt. However, the Swedish central bank on Thursday (February 10th) has cut down the repo rate to negative 0.50% first, and the reduction rate is higher than expected. This could be a harbinger of further ECB activism. But some analysts pointed out that the expansion of quantitative easing (QE) in politics is very sensitive, if the asset purchase program to adjust the parameters of the European Central Bank, the only thing you can do is to expand purchases, while taking into account the German still disagree, it is hard to do. However, the expected value but also shows that the European Central Bank to take more chances of QE initiatives is slightly higher than that of 50% in the March meeting, conducted almost with the European Central Bank meeting in January just after the end of the same, although since then, the stock market has dropped sharply. Holland cooperative bank analysis (Elwin de Groot) the Grote said: "if you want to have some impact on the market, the size of the monthly purchase debt expanded 200-300 billion euro seems to be necessary," the survey predicts that if the European Central Bank to launch more stimulus measures, expected the monthly debt purchase amount increased to about 75 billion euros. The range of forecast increases from 10 billion to 30 billion euros, and the current amount of monthly debt purchase is 60 billion euros. But most analysts predict that the European Central Bank in March the deposit rate fell to negative 0.40%; but they also believe that negative interest rates in stimulating inflation back to the European Central Bank has nearly 2% goals not what role. The euro zone’s inflation rate in January was 0.4%, still far below 2%, as a preset policy objective. The 29 analysts polled 19 said that the euro zone inflation rate this year is likely to return to a negative value or lower; and seven said that this possibility is not high not low, three think that low. In the foreseeable future, oil prices will remain moderate, and inflation outlook in the euro area will deteriorate further. The survey predicts that the average inflation rate this year will be 0.2%, and will drop to zero in 4-6 months. From now until the second quarter of 2017 2

调查:欧央行3月几乎肯定会降息 扩大月度购债规模机率为50% 美股行情中心:独家提供全美股行业板块、盘前盘后、ETF、权证实时行情   汇通网2月12日讯――路透调查访问的分析师称,欧洲央行下个月扩大每月600亿欧元购债计划规模的机率为50%,而欧洲央行再度下调存款利率,则几乎是板上钉钉的事情。   此前,欧洲央行行长德拉基(Mario Draghi)曾暗示,由于金融市场剧烈震荡导致通胀和经济增长前景转黯,该央行可能在3月会议上祭出更多刺激举措;此后,有关欧洲央行进一步宽松政策的预期便进一步升温。   全球股市自年初以来的大跌,已推动德国指标国债收益率降至近一年低位。不过,虽然市场已经预计欧洲央行将把存款利率下调10个基点至负0.40%,但本周受访的分析师还不太确定欧洲央行是否会扩大每月购债规模。   然而,瑞典央行周四(2月10日)已经先行下调指标回购利率至负0.50%,下调幅度高于预期。这可能是欧洲央行此后可能采取进一步激进行动的预兆。但部分分析师指出,扩大量化宽松(QE)在政治上是很敏感的,倘若资产购买计划的参数调整,欧洲央行唯一能做的就是扩大购买规模,而考虑到德国仍持反对意见,这样做是很难的。   但是,预期中值却也显示,欧洲央行在3月会议上采取更多QE举措的机率略高于50%,几乎与欧洲央行1月会议刚结束后进行的调查结果一样,尽管自那时以来,股市已经大幅下挫。   荷兰合作银行分析师德格鲁特(Elwin de Groot)称:“若要产生一些市场影响,把每月购债规模扩大200-300亿欧元似乎是必要的,”   调查预测,如果欧洲央行推出更多的刺激举措,料将把每月购债金额提高至约750亿欧元。预测的增加范围从100亿至300亿欧元不等,目前每月购债金额为600亿欧元。但绝大多数分析师预测,欧洲央行在3月将把存款利率降至负0.40%;不过他们也认为,负利率在拉动通胀率回到欧洲央行近2%目标方面没什么作用。   欧元区1月时通胀率为0.4%,仍远远低于2%这一预设政策目标。   29位受访分析师中有19位表示,欧元区通胀率今年很有可能回到负值或者更低;同时有七位表示,这种可能性不高不低,有三位认为较低。   鉴于在可预见的相当时期内,油价料仍将温和,欧元区的通胀前景或将进一步恶化。调查预测,本季通胀率可能平均为0.2%,4-6月将降至零。从现在直至2017年第二季,国内生产总值(GDP)季度增长率料稳定在0.4%。 责任编辑:张恒星 SF142相关的主题文章: